Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lizzy Hamilton 6.9% 8.0% 9.5% 8.8% 8.9% 7.8% 8.3% 10.6% 8.1% 8.0% 6.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.4%
Lindsey Baab 15.6% 15.0% 13.7% 11.5% 10.6% 8.6% 9.4% 6.7% 3.0% 2.7% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Janel DeCurtis 4.5% 3.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.6% 4.7% 5.3% 7.8% 9.2% 9.8% 12.6% 15.7% 9.1% 1.2%
Marly Isler 8.3% 9.4% 10.4% 9.9% 9.0% 10.7% 9.0% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 5.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.2%
Molly Pleskus 4.5% 5.7% 5.9% 7.1% 7.5% 7.7% 8.9% 8.5% 9.4% 9.4% 10.3% 9.9% 4.4% 0.8%
Elise Gehling 6.0% 6.1% 5.9% 6.3% 9.1% 8.7% 8.4% 10.1% 9.6% 8.2% 8.9% 8.3% 3.4% 1.0%
Lindsay Doyle 8.6% 10.2% 8.1% 9.8% 8.2% 9.1% 9.0% 7.9% 9.5% 7.8% 4.9% 4.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Miranda Bakos 8.9% 7.9% 8.5% 9.0% 9.7% 7.7% 7.2% 9.2% 9.5% 7.7% 7.7% 4.9% 1.9% 0.2%
Lydia Grasberger 9.8% 9.4% 11.2% 9.2% 8.7% 12.1% 9.0% 7.9% 7.4% 7.5% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.0%
Fiona Walsh 4.4% 3.8% 3.5% 4.6% 6.0% 6.6% 8.0% 7.3% 9.3% 10.5% 11.2% 13.2% 10.0% 1.6%
Sarah Hermus 18.3% 15.0% 13.7% 12.4% 8.3% 9.2% 7.9% 6.6% 3.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Christina Wettersten 0.9% 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 5.9% 9.6% 12.8% 40.0% 12.7%
Gillian Boehringer 3.2% 4.2% 2.7% 4.9% 5.1% 4.9% 6.2% 6.2% 8.1% 11.4% 13.2% 14.9% 12.4% 2.6%
Jessica Kurlander 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 0.2% 1.4% 0.6% 2.2% 2.5% 11.5% 79.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.