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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.51+5.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+3.65vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+2.47vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+0.82vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.86+2.71vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34-0.14vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.70+0.90vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-2.50vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23-2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.92-2.60vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-7.72vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-1.75vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.52Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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5.65Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.63Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.86Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.9Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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6.5George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.58Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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11.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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13.43SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Hamilton | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Marly Isler | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 1.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 2.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Fiona Walsh | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.0% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christina Wettersten | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 39.5% | 12.1% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 9.2% | 80.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.