Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Janel DeCurtis 4.1% 3.7% 3.7% 5.5% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 7.1% 9.0% 9.9% 12.9% 13.8% 8.9% 2.1%
Gillian Boehringer 2.8% 4.5% 4.5% 4.5% 5.5% 5.3% 6.5% 6.3% 7.4% 9.7% 14.2% 14.7% 12.2% 1.9%
Fiona Walsh 4.2% 4.7% 5.2% 5.3% 6.1% 5.5% 6.0% 7.7% 8.2% 10.6% 12.3% 14.1% 8.9% 1.2%
Marly Isler 8.0% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 8.9% 9.3% 10.0% 8.5% 8.5% 6.6% 5.2% 3.2% 1.3% 0.1%
Lizzy Hamilton 6.4% 7.5% 8.8% 9.3% 8.0% 7.4% 9.2% 9.4% 8.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.5% 2.8% 0.4%
Lindsay Doyle 7.9% 6.3% 8.0% 9.1% 9.7% 7.9% 9.6% 10.4% 9.0% 7.3% 6.5% 5.6% 2.3% 0.4%
Lindsey Baab 15.5% 16.3% 13.8% 9.7% 9.9% 10.6% 7.8% 5.3% 4.7% 3.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Sarah Hermus 19.3% 17.4% 12.8% 10.3% 10.0% 8.3% 6.5% 5.1% 4.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Lydia Grasberger 9.7% 8.5% 11.2% 9.6% 9.7% 9.9% 9.5% 8.9% 8.4% 6.0% 4.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Elise Gehling 5.8% 5.0% 6.3% 8.9% 7.9% 9.6% 6.7% 9.5% 8.4% 9.9% 10.2% 7.7% 3.9% 0.2%
Hannah McNomee 9.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.3% 8.5% 8.5% 10.4% 9.5% 8.2% 7.3% 4.9% 4.5% 2.4% 0.1%
Molly Pleskus 4.8% 6.2% 5.0% 7.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.0% 8.2% 10.5% 9.0% 9.7% 9.3% 5.4% 0.9%
Christina Wettersten 1.6% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.4% 6.3% 7.7% 14.2% 40.5% 12.2%
Jessica Kurlander 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 3.4% 10.1% 80.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.