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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+6.37vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.76+3.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+2.50vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+1.77vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.34+1.25vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84-1.54vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.70+0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-4.71vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86-1.29vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.92-2.51vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.67-5.83vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-1.70vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.62Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College2.510.1%1st Place
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7.25Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.93Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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8.71Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.49Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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6.17George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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13.43SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Marly Isler | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 14.2% | 16.4% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 2.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.8% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 1.9% |
| Fiona Walsh | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 1.2% |
| Hannah McNomee | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Christina Wettersten | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 40.8% | 11.9% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 10.4% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.