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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+3.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+6.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+1.12vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+1.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+2.54vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.67+0.22vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34-0.19vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.92+0.26vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.76-3.08vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.70-0.94vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-4.57vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.21-4.48vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-1.78vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.27Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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5.62Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.22George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.81Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.26Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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5.92Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.06Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.52Bowdoin College2.210.0%1st Place
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11.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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13.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 14.7% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 1.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 18.4% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Hannah McNomee | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Fiona Walsh | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Marly Isler | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 2.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Price | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Christina Wettersten | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 14.4% | 39.5% | 12.2% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 10.2% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.