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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+3.55vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.34+4.83vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.21+4.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+3.42vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+3.61vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.76-0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58-0.93vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.70+0.82vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58-2.61vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.92-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-6.74vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-0.69vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.84-7.46vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.83Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.93Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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6.39George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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4.26University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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11.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
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5.54Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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13.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 15.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Price | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 1.9% |
| Marly Isler | 10.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 2.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Fiona Walsh | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.9% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Wettersten | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 15.1% | 38.7% | 12.7% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 10.8% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.