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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+0.98vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.70+1.91vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.13+1.73vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.95-0.37vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11-2.76vs Predicted
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6Queen's University-0.74-0.22vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.78-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Pennsylvania2.340.4%1st Place
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3.91Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.73Princeton University0.130.0%1st Place
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3.63Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
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2.24Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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5.78Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
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5.73Ocean County College-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 42.4% | 30.4% | 17.1% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 7.5% | 10.7% | 21.3% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Eleanor Elbert | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 28.5% | 21.4% | 13.1% |
| Stephanie Hart | 10.4% | 13.6% | 22.7% | 23.5% | 18.1% | 9.4% | 2.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 31.5% | 33.0% | 20.9% | 10.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 8.9% | 15.3% | 28.8% | 39.4% |
| Geneva O'Brien | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 27.3% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.