← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.23+6.23vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.37+2.03vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.58+3.33vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.76+1.84vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.34+2.14vs Predicted
-
6Boston College1.92+2.42vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.20-2.58vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College2.21-0.58vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.86-0.45vs Predicted
-
10Boston University2.84-4.36vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.58-4.62vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University1.70-3.04vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-1.78vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.23Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
4.03University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
-
6.33University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
5.84Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.14Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
8.42Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
-
4.42Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.42Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
-
8.55Roger Williams University1.860.1%1st Place
-
5.64Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
-
6.38George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
8.96Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
-
11.22Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
-
13.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 6.3% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 19.5% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Marly Isler | 8.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Fiona Walsh | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 1.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 15.0% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Price | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 0.5% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 5.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 2.5% |
| Christina Wettersten | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 14.1% | 39.5% | 12.3% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 9.7% | 80.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.