Race 11B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sarah Hermus 19.4% 16.7% 15.1% 12.4% 11.3% 9.1% 6.6% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Molly Pleskus 6.1% 5.8% 6.4% 8.9% 9.3% 7.9% 9.5% 9.9% 11.4% 11.9% 8.1% 4.1% 0.7%
Marly Isler 8.6% 11.9% 11.4% 10.4% 9.9% 12.2% 8.5% 8.9% 7.9% 6.1% 3.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Fiona Walsh 3.7% 5.4% 5.1% 6.1% 7.8% 6.8% 8.0% 9.2% 10.7% 12.9% 14.0% 9.2% 1.1%
Lydia Grasberger 12.1% 13.5% 11.6% 10.9% 8.7% 10.5% 10.0% 7.9% 7.4% 3.9% 2.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Lindsay Doyle 9.5% 8.9% 9.8% 10.7% 9.6% 10.5% 9.9% 8.6% 7.1% 7.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Elise Gehling 7.5% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 7.0% 9.6% 9.9% 11.0% 9.8% 10.0% 7.3% 3.4% 0.2%
Lindsey Baab 16.4% 15.8% 12.9% 13.1% 11.9% 10.7% 8.1% 4.2% 2.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Catherine Price 6.6% 5.5% 7.1% 6.0% 9.1% 7.6% 9.2% 12.2% 11.3% 8.5% 11.0% 5.1% 0.8%
Janel DeCurtis 5.3% 4.3% 4.3% 6.0% 6.5% 6.9% 8.3% 8.6% 11.1% 13.1% 14.0% 10.0% 1.6%
Gillian Boehringer 3.3% 3.1% 5.5% 5.9% 6.4% 5.4% 7.7% 10.1% 11.4% 12.8% 15.9% 10.6% 1.9%
Christina Wettersten 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.0% 7.8% 12.1% 43.7% 12.7%
Jessica Kurlander 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 3.9% 9.6% 80.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.