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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+2.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+2.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+2.40vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+1.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.21+1.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+0.73vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.70+1.09vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.92-0.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86-1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-4.17vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.34-4.73vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.92+0.48vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.74-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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4.29Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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5.4Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.18Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.83Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.09Cornell University1.700.0%1st Place
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7.62Boston College1.920.0%1st Place
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7.9Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.83University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.27Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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12.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 19.6% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Price | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Gillian Boehringer | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 2.0% |
| Fiona Walsh | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 10.5% | 79.9% |
| Christina Wettersten | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 39.5% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.