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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.55+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25+0.19vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.28+0.43vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.08-0.25vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.47-1.68vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University-0.10-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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2.19University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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3.43Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.32Oregon State University1.470.1%1st Place
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5.2Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Moran | 17.8% | 22.0% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 6.2% |
| Kris Thompson | 40.7% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 10.5% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Anderson | 13.9% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 21.5% | 20.8% | 8.3% |
| Gabe Hill | 9.8% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 21.7% | 25.5% | 12.1% |
| Cody Odou | 15.0% | 18.8% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 8.6% |
| Quanah Green | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 15.0% | 63.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.