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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.15vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.55+0.96vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.28+0.32vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.10+1.02vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.47-1.80vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.15University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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2.96University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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3.32Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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5.02Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.2Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.35Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 38.9% | 27.8% | 19.0% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Stephen Moran | 20.7% | 22.3% | 19.2% | 21.2% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Anderson | 14.6% | 16.0% | 23.0% | 21.5% | 18.7% | 6.2% |
| Quanah Green | 2.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 11.8% | 20.5% | 53.7% |
| Cody Odou | 16.5% | 20.2% | 20.9% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 7.7% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 30.0% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.