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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.17vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.55+0.97vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.10+1.99vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.28-0.66vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.47-1.81vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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2.97University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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4.99Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.34Northwestern University1.280.2%1st Place
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3.19Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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4.34Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 38.1% | 28.2% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Stephen Moran | 19.9% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 19.0% | 12.8% | 4.8% |
| Quanah Green | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 54.4% |
| Ryan Anderson | 15.3% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 6.7% |
| Cody Odou | 16.4% | 20.2% | 20.9% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 6.4% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 6.1% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 29.0% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.