← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Washington University1.08+2.76vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington2.25+0.22vs Predicted
-
3University of Oregon1.55+0.05vs Predicted
-
4Oregon State University1.47-0.79vs Predicted
-
5Northwestern University1.28-1.44vs Predicted
-
6Oregon State University-0.10-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.76Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
-
2.22University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
-
3.05University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
-
3.21Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
-
3.56Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
-
5.2Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Hill | 10.8% | 13.6% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 24.9% | 13.9% |
| Kris Thompson | 39.0% | 25.5% | 18.5% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Stephen Moran | 19.3% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 20.9% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
| Cody Odou | 16.4% | 18.7% | 21.1% | 20.9% | 17.4% | 5.5% |
| Ryan Anderson | 12.0% | 17.4% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 20.1% | 12.0% |
| Quanah Green | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.