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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.55+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.25+0.20vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University-0.10+2.11vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.08-0.25vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University1.47-1.70vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.28-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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2.2University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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5.11Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.75Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.3Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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3.52Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Moran | 18.2% | 20.4% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 6.2% |
| Kris Thompson | 39.7% | 24.8% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Quanah Green | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 62.2% |
| Gabe Hill | 10.3% | 13.9% | 16.1% | 22.6% | 24.6% | 12.5% |
| Cody Odou | 15.4% | 18.3% | 21.7% | 18.0% | 18.7% | 7.9% |
| Ryan Anderson | 12.9% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 21.8% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.