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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.17vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.28+1.34vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.47+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.55-1.04vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.10+0.09vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.52-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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3.34Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.07Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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2.96University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
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5.09Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
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4.36Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 39.7% | 27.6% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Anderson | 14.0% | 19.8% | 18.5% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 7.6% |
| Cody Odou | 17.9% | 19.3% | 23.1% | 21.3% | 13.9% | 4.5% |
| Stephen Moran | 19.6% | 19.9% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 12.3% | 3.5% |
| Quanah Green | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 19.7% | 57.2% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 5.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 30.6% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.