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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.13+3.62vs Predicted
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2Queen's University-0.74+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.01vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.70+0.04vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College-0.78+0.88vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.11-3.78vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.95-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Princeton University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.74Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
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1.99University of Pennsylvania2.340.4%1st Place
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4.04Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.88Ocean County College-0.780.0%1st Place
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2.22Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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3.52Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Elbert | 5.6% | 5.0% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 25.1% | 21.8% | 11.2% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 16.5% | 27.8% | 38.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 40.1% | 33.1% | 17.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 7.0% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 26.9% | 21.9% | 14.7% | 3.4% |
| Geneva O'Brien | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 14.1% | 26.8% | 44.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 32.8% | 31.4% | 21.2% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hart | 12.0% | 14.8% | 22.7% | 23.1% | 17.1% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.