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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.26vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+4.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+3.11vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.47+4.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.86+2.20vs Predicted
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7Unknown School0.03+4.08vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.12+2.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-3.12vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+1.08vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.83-2.34vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.90-4.84vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.22vs Predicted
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14Unknown School0.61-5.18vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.07-7.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.57vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.41-1.86vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.67-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of Hawaii2.4126.9%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida1.609.4%1st Place
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7.31University of Hawaii1.056.3%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.087.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Hawaii0.474.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Berkeley0.865.4%1st Place
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11.08Unknown School0.032.5%1st Place
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10.51University of Hawaii0.122.4%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.509.9%1st Place
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11.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.832.1%1st Place
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8.66University of South Florida0.834.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Southern California0.906.8%1st Place
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12.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.5%1st Place
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8.82Unknown School0.614.4%1st Place
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7.29University of South Florida1.076.3%1st Place
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15.43University of California at San Diego-1.130.6%1st Place
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15.14University of California at Davis-1.410.4%1st Place
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15.82Rutgers University-1.670.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 26.9% | 19.9% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matt Young | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Grace Jones | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Maggie Rickman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 24.8% | 31.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 25.6% | 24.2% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.