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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.25+1.14vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.52+2.28vs Predicted
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3Oregon State University1.47+0.08vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.10+1.02vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.28-1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon1.55-2.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14University of Washington2.250.4%1st Place
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4.28Western Washington University0.520.1%1st Place
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3.08Oregon State University1.470.2%1st Place
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5.02Oregon State University-0.100.0%1st Place
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3.47Northwestern University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Oregon1.550.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Thompson | 40.5% | 28.0% | 16.4% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Van Slyck | 6.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 29.0% | 25.8% |
| Cody Odou | 17.2% | 20.2% | 23.3% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 4.1% |
| Quanah Green | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 54.6% |
| Ryan Anderson | 13.5% | 16.2% | 18.5% | 23.2% | 18.9% | 9.7% |
| Stephen Moran | 18.3% | 21.2% | 22.8% | 20.6% | 12.7% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.