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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.87+1.79vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.34+0.25vs Predicted
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3Columbia University0.95+1.03vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.11-1.43vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.70-0.56vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-0.69-0.03vs Predicted
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7Queen's University-0.74-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Princeton University1.870.2%1st Place
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2.25University of Pennsylvania2.340.3%1st Place
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4.03Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
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2.57Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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4.44Drexel University0.700.0%1st Place
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5.97Ocean County College-0.690.0%1st Place
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5.93Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Costello | 23.8% | 22.8% | 21.5% | 18.5% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 33.7% | 30.4% | 19.7% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Hart | 8.1% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 22.8% | 25.0% | 14.2% | 3.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 26.4% | 25.2% | 23.2% | 17.0% | 6.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 4.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 29.2% | 18.3% | 7.1% |
| Jamie Wasco | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 13.3% | 33.2% | 42.8% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.1% | 29.3% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.