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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.60+4.00vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+4.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+1.86vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.05+2.53vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.86+1.10vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.83+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.07-1.61vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.12+0.38vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California0.90-3.74vs Predicted
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12Unknown School0.61-3.12vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.31vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.47-4.67vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.52vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.41-0.90vs Predicted
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17Unknown School0.03-5.94vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.67-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Hawaii2.4124.8%1st Place
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6.0University of South Florida1.609.2%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.086.3%1st Place
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5.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.509.7%1st Place
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7.53University of Hawaii1.055.4%1st Place
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10.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.832.5%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Berkeley0.865.3%1st Place
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8.58University of South Florida0.834.9%1st Place
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7.39University of South Florida1.076.9%1st Place
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10.38University of Hawaii0.123.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Southern California0.907.0%1st Place
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8.88Unknown School0.615.1%1st Place
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12.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.4%1st Place
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9.33University of Hawaii0.474.2%1st Place
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15.52University of California at San Diego-1.130.7%1st Place
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15.1University of California at Davis-1.410.9%1st Place
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11.06Unknown School0.032.2%1st Place
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15.71Rutgers University-1.670.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 24.8% | 18.4% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Jones | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Rickman | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 15.8% | 24.5% | 31.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 25.2% | 23.6% |
| Matt Young | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 14.1% | 22.1% | 36.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.