← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.34+1.27vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.87+0.79vs Predicted
-
3Columbia University0.95+1.08vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University2.11-1.45vs Predicted
-
5Ocean County College-0.69+0.99vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University0.70-1.62vs Predicted
-
7Queen's University-0.74-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.27University of Pennsylvania2.340.4%1st Place
-
2.79Princeton University1.870.2%1st Place
-
4.08Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
-
2.55Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
-
5.99Ocean County College-0.690.0%1st Place
-
4.38Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
-
5.93Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 35.5% | 27.7% | 19.1% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Costello | 20.4% | 26.4% | 23.4% | 16.8% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hart | 7.7% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 24.9% | 26.5% | 12.8% | 4.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 27.5% | 23.7% | 25.1% | 15.2% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Jamie Wasco | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 32.3% | 44.3% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 20.5% | 28.2% | 18.6% | 6.5% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 12.2% | 30.0% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.