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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.16vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.12+7.81vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.07+3.87vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.05+2.84vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+7.36vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.51vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-0.23vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.60-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.83-0.72vs Predicted
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10Unknown School0.61-1.43vs Predicted
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11Unknown School0.03-0.29vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.90-5.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.13+2.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.50-8.23vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.41-0.05vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii0.47-7.07vs Predicted
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17Rutgers University-1.34-2.43vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-1.53-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16University of Hawaii2.4127.8%1st Place
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9.81University of Hawaii0.123.3%1st Place
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6.87University of South Florida1.077.3%1st Place
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6.84University of Hawaii1.057.1%1st Place
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12.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.8%1st Place
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10.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.832.6%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.087.8%1st Place
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5.65University of South Florida1.609.6%1st Place
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8.28University of South Florida0.835.1%1st Place
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8.57Unknown School0.614.2%1st Place
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10.71Unknown School0.032.4%1st Place
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6.97University of Southern California0.906.6%1st Place
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15.11University of California at San Diego-1.130.5%1st Place
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5.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.508.5%1st Place
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14.95University of California at Davis-1.410.4%1st Place
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8.93University of Hawaii0.473.5%1st Place
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14.57Rutgers University-1.340.7%1st Place
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15.15University of California at Berkeley-1.530.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 27.8% | 20.2% | 17.1% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Kailey Warrior | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 2.6% |
| Jack Kisling | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Rickman | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Young | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Morgana Manti | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 27.8% |
| Julian Skerrett | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 20.1% | 22.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| Dante Drolet | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 26.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.