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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+1.24vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+0.81vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11-0.48vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College-0.78+2.13vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.70-0.61vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.95-1.96vs Predicted
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7Queen's University-0.74-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.24University of Pennsylvania2.340.4%1st Place
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2.81Princeton University1.870.2%1st Place
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2.52Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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6.13Ocean County College-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.39Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.04Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
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5.88Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 35.1% | 29.6% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Costello | 21.4% | 22.9% | 24.7% | 19.3% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 26.7% | 26.8% | 24.2% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Geneva O'Brien | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 29.7% | 49.9% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 19.2% | 31.1% | 18.1% | 5.6% |
| Stephanie Hart | 8.6% | 9.3% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 26.6% | 14.0% | 2.8% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 12.7% | 32.8% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.