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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.05+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.12+5.97vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.47+3.96vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.59vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.83+1.22vs Predicted
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8Unknown School0.03+2.56vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.60-3.54vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.07-2.87vs Predicted
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11Unknown School0.61-2.31vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-6.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.41+0.80vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.13+0.15vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.34-1.19vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.53-1.96vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California0.90-11.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of Hawaii2.4127.3%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.5011.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Hawaii1.056.7%1st Place
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9.97University of Hawaii0.123.0%1st Place
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8.96University of Hawaii0.473.5%1st Place
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10.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.832.1%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida0.834.0%1st Place
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10.56Unknown School0.032.7%1st Place
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5.46University of South Florida1.6011.2%1st Place
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7.13University of South Florida1.075.2%1st Place
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8.69Unknown School0.614.5%1st Place
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12.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.1%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.088.2%1st Place
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14.8University of California at Davis-1.410.5%1st Place
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15.15University of California at San Diego-1.130.5%1st Place
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14.81Rutgers University-1.340.4%1st Place
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15.04University of California at Berkeley-1.530.6%1st Place
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6.77University of Southern California0.907.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 27.3% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 11.0% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jack Kisling | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Grace Jones | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Young | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Rickman | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Florence Duff | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 20.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 20.0% | 27.9% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| Dante Drolet | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 20.4% | 24.9% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.