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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.56+0.77vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.82-0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.82-0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.11-1.75vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.39vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of Rhode Island2.560.5%1st Place
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2.44Brown University1.820.3%1st Place
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3.55University of Rhode Island0.820.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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5.61Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.37Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 50.3% | 29.6% | 14.2% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 25.3% | 31.4% | 23.0% | 15.0% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Benton Croop | 9.0% | 13.2% | 21.8% | 29.8% | 21.9% | 4.3% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 10.6% | 18.1% | 27.1% | 26.2% | 15.8% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 11.2% | 78.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 4.2% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 44.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.