← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.34+1.26vs Predicted
-
2Princeton University1.87+0.79vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University2.11-0.48vs Predicted
-
4Drexel University0.70+0.38vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University0.95-0.93vs Predicted
-
6Queen's University-0.74+0.01vs Predicted
-
7Ocean County College-0.78-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26University of Pennsylvania2.340.3%1st Place
-
2.79Princeton University1.870.2%1st Place
-
2.52Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
-
4.38Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
-
4.07Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
-
6.01Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
-
5.97Ocean County College-0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 34.7% | 29.2% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Costello | 21.9% | 22.7% | 25.2% | 17.9% | 9.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Mia Cooper | 27.6% | 25.5% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 30.5% | 18.7% | 5.1% |
| Stephanie Hart | 7.2% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 24.9% | 25.1% | 13.5% | 4.2% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 12.8% | 32.4% | 44.4% |
| Geneva O'Brien | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 30.4% | 45.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.