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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.56-0.25vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.11+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.82-1.41vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.38vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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1.75University of Rhode Island2.560.5%1st Place
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3.22University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Rhode Island0.820.1%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.37Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Secondo | 23.4% | 31.5% | 26.4% | 12.9% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 52.1% | 27.4% | 15.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 12.2% | 18.3% | 24.6% | 27.5% | 15.2% | 2.2% |
| Benton Croop | 7.9% | 14.4% | 19.9% | 30.6% | 23.1% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 11.2% | 79.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 44.1% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.