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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University1.82+0.50vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.11+0.23vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.56-2.28vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.82-1.42vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.39vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.23University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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1.72University of Rhode Island2.560.5%1st Place
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3.58University of Rhode Island0.820.1%1st Place
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5.61Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.36Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Secondo | 22.4% | 32.1% | 25.3% | 14.3% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 11.4% | 19.5% | 24.8% | 25.8% | 15.8% | 2.7% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 52.7% | 28.5% | 13.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Benton Croop | 9.6% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 31.0% | 23.1% | 4.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 78.8% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.3% | 6.4% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 43.5% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.