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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Rhode Island2.56-0.12vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28-0.92vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.11-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.82-1.32vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.37vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Rhode Island2.560.4%1st Place
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2.08Brown University2.280.4%1st Place
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3.31University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Rhode Island0.820.1%1st Place
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5.63Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.43Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gibbs | 42.2% | 35.7% | 15.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 37.1% | 30.6% | 21.5% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 10.6% | 15.5% | 27.5% | 27.4% | 16.7% | 2.3% |
| Benton Croop | 6.5% | 12.0% | 21.0% | 32.4% | 24.0% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 11.1% | 79.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.1% | 5.0% | 11.2% | 21.8% | 44.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.