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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island0.84+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.11+0.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28-2.45vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.12-1.51vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of Rhode Island0.840.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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1.55Brown University2.280.6%1st Place
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3.49Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.61Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Podlich | 14.2% | 25.4% | 30.4% | 24.2% | 5.8% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 18.0% | 32.5% | 29.9% | 17.5% | 2.1% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 60.4% | 27.3% | 9.9% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 6.5% | 11.8% | 23.2% | 43.2% | 15.3% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.9% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.