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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.11+1.57vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28-1.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.84-1.21vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.12-1.50vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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1.54Brown University2.280.6%1st Place
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2.79University of Rhode Island0.840.1%1st Place
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3.5Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.6Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Finkenauer | 18.6% | 30.1% | 30.6% | 17.4% | 3.3% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 60.3% | 28.2% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Podlich | 14.5% | 25.5% | 30.9% | 24.4% | 4.7% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.7% | 12.9% | 22.7% | 43.2% | 15.5% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.9% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.