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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+0.55vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.84+0.81vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.11-1.47vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.12-1.51vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Brown University2.280.6%1st Place
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2.81University of Rhode Island0.840.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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3.49Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.62Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 60.8% | 27.0% | 9.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Podlich | 13.2% | 24.8% | 33.8% | 23.9% | 4.3% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 19.3% | 32.1% | 27.7% | 18.3% | 2.6% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.5% | 14.0% | 22.6% | 41.9% | 16.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 1.2% | 2.1% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.