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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+0.54vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.11+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.84-0.18vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University0.12-1.51vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.54Brown University2.280.6%1st Place
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2.53University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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2.82University of Rhode Island0.840.1%1st Place
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3.49Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.62Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 61.4% | 26.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 17.9% | 32.1% | 31.4% | 16.3% | 2.3% |
| Sophie Podlich | 14.3% | 24.8% | 29.8% | 26.6% | 4.5% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.3% | 14.7% | 21.5% | 42.5% | 16.0% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 1.1% | 2.1% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.