← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii2.41+2.36vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+3.86vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+8.08vs Predicted
-
4Unknown School0.61+5.03vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.60+1.05vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California0.90+1.16vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.05+0.38vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii0.12+2.30vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida0.83-0.38vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+2.77vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida1.07-3.68vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Berkeley0.86-3.73vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-5.77vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii0.47-4.51vs Predicted
-
15Unknown School0.03-3.86vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-1.13-0.47vs Predicted
-
17Rutgers University-1.34-1.85vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-1.41-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.36University of Hawaii2.4125.1%1st Place
-
5.86University of California at Santa Barbara1.5010.8%1st Place
-
11.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.832.1%1st Place
-
9.03Unknown School0.613.5%1st Place
-
6.05University of South Florida1.609.8%1st Place
-
7.16University of Southern California0.907.0%1st Place
-
7.38University of Hawaii1.055.6%1st Place
-
10.3University of Hawaii0.123.0%1st Place
-
8.62University of South Florida0.834.9%1st Place
-
12.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.1%1st Place
-
7.32University of South Florida1.077.1%1st Place
-
8.27University of California at Berkeley0.865.3%1st Place
-
7.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.086.7%1st Place
-
9.49University of Hawaii0.474.3%1st Place
-
11.14Unknown School0.032.1%1st Place
-
15.53University of California at San Diego-1.130.4%1st Place
-
15.15Rutgers University-1.340.6%1st Place
-
15.24University of California at Davis-1.410.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 25.1% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Maggie Rickman | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Grace Jones | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 5.2% |
| Kailey Warrior | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Matt Young | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 14.0% | 20.3% | 35.8% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 24.1% | 26.4% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 24.3% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.