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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+1.27vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+0.80vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11-0.48vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.70+0.39vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.95-0.91vs Predicted
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6Queen's University-0.74+0.03vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.69-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Pennsylvania2.340.3%1st Place
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2.8Princeton University1.870.2%1st Place
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2.52Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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4.39Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.09Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
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6.03Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
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5.9Ocean County College-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 34.7% | 29.1% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Costello | 21.9% | 22.6% | 25.1% | 18.0% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 27.5% | 25.6% | 24.2% | 14.2% | 7.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 19.9% | 30.4% | 18.5% | 5.6% |
| Stephanie Hart | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 24.7% | 24.9% | 14.0% | 4.3% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 12.3% | 30.6% | 46.7% |
| Jamie Wasco | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 31.6% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.