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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Rhode Island0.84+0.83vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28-1.45vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University0.12-0.55vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.11-2.45vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Rhode Island0.840.1%1st Place
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1.55Brown University2.280.6%1st Place
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3.45Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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2.55University of Vermont1.110.2%1st Place
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4.61Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Podlich | 14.5% | 24.4% | 31.8% | 22.1% | 7.2% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 60.6% | 26.7% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Brian Reilly | 7.5% | 11.7% | 22.2% | 45.3% | 13.3% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 16.6% | 33.6% | 30.2% | 17.0% | 2.6% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.