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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+2.07vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+0.41vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.87+0.45vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.19+1.25vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.15-2.17vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.48-1.87vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-0.09-1.80vs Predicted
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9American University-1.35-1.03vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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2.41Christopher Newport University2.210.3%1st Place
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3.07Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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6.25Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.83Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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5.13William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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6.2Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.97American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 22.4% | 21.2% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 33.9% | 27.7% | 17.6% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 22.4% | 21.2% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 9.1% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 14.0% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 22.1% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 16.5% | 61.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Doan | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.