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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+2.12vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.15+2.05vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+0.12vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University2.21-1.72vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.48+0.04vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America-0.09-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15-1.27vs Predicted
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8American University-1.35+0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland0.87-4.56vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.19-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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4.05Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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3.12Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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2.28Christopher Newport University2.210.4%1st Place
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5.04William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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5.99Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.73University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.0%1st Place
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8.03American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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6.31Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 21.5% | 22.0% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 10.1% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 21.5% | 22.0% | 17.4% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 37.5% | 27.0% | 17.0% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Doan | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 62.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 24.8% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.