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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+1.29vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+1.19vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.19+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15+1.64vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65-1.81vs Predicted
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6Villanova University1.15-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.87-2.63vs Predicted
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8American University-1.35+0.02vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.09-2.82vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.48-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Christopher Newport University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.19Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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6.39Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.0%1st Place
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3.19Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.83Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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8.02American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.18Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.08William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 38.2% | 25.7% | 17.7% | 10.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 18.1% | 22.0% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 24.8% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Doan | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 18.1% | 22.0% | 21.7% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 13.5% | 17.6% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 62.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 22.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.