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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+2.11vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+0.41vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland0.87+1.46vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.48+1.03vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.65-1.89vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15-0.39vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.15-3.09vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-0.09-1.81vs Predicted
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9American University-1.35-1.03vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.19-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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2.41Christopher Newport University2.210.3%1st Place
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4.46University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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5.03William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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3.11Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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5.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.0%1st Place
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3.91Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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6.19Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.97American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.31Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 22.6% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 33.6% | 27.0% | 19.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 8.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 22.6% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Doan | 4.8% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 13.9% | 12.5% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 15.5% | 61.9% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 24.2% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.