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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.65+2.11vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.21+0.41vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.87+0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15+0.66vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.48-0.99vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.15-3.10vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-0.09-1.82vs Predicted
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9American University-1.35-1.02vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.19-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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2.41Christopher Newport University2.210.3%1st Place
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3.11Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.0%1st Place
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5.01William and Mary0.480.1%1st Place
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3.9Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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6.18Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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7.98American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.29Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Price | 23.0% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 33.6% | 27.9% | 18.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 23.0% | 20.5% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 8.8% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Doan | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 16.8% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Pinkham | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 13.9% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 22.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 15.2% | 62.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 18.7% | 23.8% | 13.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.