← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University2.21+1.26vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech1.65+1.14vs Predicted
-
3University of Maryland0.87+1.40vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech1.65-0.86vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University1.15-1.26vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15-0.49vs Predicted
-
7Catholic University of America-0.09-0.93vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary0.15-2.34vs Predicted
-
9American University-1.35-1.05vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-0.19-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.26Christopher Newport University2.210.4%1st Place
-
3.14Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
-
4.4University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
-
3.14Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
-
3.74Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.51University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.1%1st Place
-
6.07Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
-
5.66William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
-
7.95American University-1.350.0%1st Place
-
6.27Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 38.8% | 24.6% | 18.8% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 18.8% | 24.6% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 8.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 18.8% | 24.6% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 14.5% | 14.7% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Doan | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 19.9% | 20.7% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 15.2% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 60.7% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 24.4% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.