Race 3A

central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Rush 47.8% 26.7% 11.9% 7.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Donahue 11.2% 12.0% 17.0% 17.3% 13.6% 13.3% 8.5% 5.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Tom Charpentier 2.6% 3.5% 4.9% 6.4% 6.8% 9.9% 15.1% 22.2% 19.1% 9.5%
Ryan Byrne 4.3% 8.1% 12.3% 11.8% 15.1% 15.6% 14.9% 11.2% 5.5% 1.2%
Alexandra Arntsen 10.4% 13.0% 13.6% 15.6% 16.6% 14.0% 8.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6%
Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk 14.0% 19.7% 17.6% 17.3% 13.6% 9.2% 5.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Christopher Hulse 1.9% 3.1% 4.6% 6.4% 8.4% 12.0% 18.0% 19.8% 17.8% 8.0%
Jon Beery 6.3% 11.4% 13.5% 12.7% 15.8% 15.5% 13.2% 7.9% 3.0% 0.7%
John Fonte 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 3.4% 5.1% 8.6% 13.6% 25.9% 36.3%
Natalie Fohl 0.6% 1.1% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 7.1% 12.2% 24.0% 43.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.