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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.34+1.28vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.87+0.80vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.11-0.47vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.95+0.06vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.70-0.59vs Predicted
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6Queen's University-0.74+0.03vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College-0.69-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Pennsylvania2.340.3%1st Place
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2.8Princeton University1.870.2%1st Place
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2.53Fordham University2.110.3%1st Place
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4.06Columbia University0.950.1%1st Place
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4.41Drexel University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.03Queen's University-0.740.0%1st Place
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5.89Ocean County College-0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 34.2% | 29.4% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Katherine Costello | 21.6% | 23.1% | 25.2% | 17.5% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 27.1% | 25.9% | 24.4% | 14.0% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hart | 7.8% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 22.3% | 27.9% | 13.3% | 3.5% |
| Jennifer Mislinski | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 21.2% | 29.0% | 18.5% | 6.5% |
| Melissa Dupuis | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 31.1% | 46.7% |
| Jamie Wasco | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 31.5% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.