← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida1.60+5.00vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California1.40+3.67vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+3.09vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.07+3.48vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.41-1.66vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.83+2.95vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.08vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii1.05-0.70vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-1.68vs Predicted
-
10Unknown School0.03+1.16vs Predicted
-
11University of Hawaii0.12-0.60vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26+0.79vs Predicted
-
13Unknown School0.61-4.00vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii0.47-4.60vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Berkeley0.86-6.60vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-1.41-0.87vs Predicted
-
17Rutgers University-1.67-1.11vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-1.13-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.0University of South Florida1.609.2%1st Place
-
5.67University of Southern California1.4011.1%1st Place
-
6.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.509.5%1st Place
-
7.48University of South Florida1.076.2%1st Place
-
3.34University of Hawaii2.4123.5%1st Place
-
8.95University of South Florida0.834.0%1st Place
-
11.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.832.2%1st Place
-
7.3University of Hawaii1.057.0%1st Place
-
7.32University of California at Santa Barbara1.086.5%1st Place
-
11.16Unknown School0.031.8%1st Place
-
10.4University of Hawaii0.122.9%1st Place
-
12.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.3%1st Place
-
9.0Unknown School0.614.7%1st Place
-
9.4University of Hawaii0.473.6%1st Place
-
8.4University of California at Berkeley0.865.2%1st Place
-
15.13University of California at Davis-1.410.3%1st Place
-
15.89Rutgers University-1.670.6%1st Place
-
15.62University of California at San Diego-1.130.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Harris | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 23.5% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kisling | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Young | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Florence Duff | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 4.3% |
| Maggie Rickman | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Carsten Zieger | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 24.1% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 13.2% | 24.7% | 37.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.3% | 24.6% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.