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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.21+1.22vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.65+1.12vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.65+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.87+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.15+0.61vs Predicted
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6American University-1.35+1.81vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.19-0.77vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.15-4.16vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.09-2.87vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.15-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Christopher Newport University2.210.4%1st Place
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3.12Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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3.12Virginia Tech1.650.2%1st Place
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4.35University of Maryland0.870.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.150.1%1st Place
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7.81American University-1.350.0%1st Place
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6.23Drexel University-0.190.0%1st Place
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3.84Villanova University1.150.1%1st Place
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6.13Catholic University of America-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.69William and Mary0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Powers | 39.0% | 25.7% | 18.9% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 19.4% | 24.1% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 19.4% | 24.1% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 8.7% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Doan | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexina Beckley | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 56.8% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Adams | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alldian | 13.3% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Seski | 4.5% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 13.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Anderson | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.