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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech1.35+2.66vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University2.24+0.42vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.84+1.53vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+1.71vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.35-1.34vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.06-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland1.00-2.81vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.59-4.73vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.39-2.50vs Predicted
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10American University-3.20-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.66Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
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2.42Christopher Newport University2.240.3%1st Place
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4.53William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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3.66Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
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5.92Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.19University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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3.27Villanova University1.590.2%1st Place
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6.5Catholic University of America-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.8American University-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKay Hanna | 15.9% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 34.2% | 26.0% | 19.0% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 20.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 15.9% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 10.9% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 18.3% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 3.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 19.2% | 19.5% | 20.5% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Iain Higgins | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 14.6% | 20.5% | 39.4% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Wanner | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 91.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.