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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.24+1.33vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.35+1.78vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.59+0.27vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland1.00+0.13vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.84-0.61vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.35-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-1.26vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America-0.39-1.42vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.06-3.02vs Predicted
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10American University-3.20-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Christopher Newport University2.240.4%1st Place
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3.78Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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3.27Villanova University1.590.2%1st Place
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4.13University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.39William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
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3.78Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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5.74University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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6.58Catholic University of America-0.390.0%1st Place
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5.98Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.81American University-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Van Beurden | 36.7% | 26.1% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 11.5% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 20.2% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 11.5% | 16.6% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 23.4% | 18.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Iain Higgins | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 20.4% | 40.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 23.2% | 25.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Wanner | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 91.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.