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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.41+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.07+4.24vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.83+4.77vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+1.10vs Predicted
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6Unknown School0.03+5.06vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.60-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.05-0.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.86-0.70vs Predicted
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10Unknown School0.61-0.88vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-3.70vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.12-1.44vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.27vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii0.47-4.45vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83-3.65vs Predicted
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16Rutgers University-1.67-0.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.13-1.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-1.41-2.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43University of Southern California1.4010.9%1st Place
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3.45University of Hawaii2.4123.6%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida1.076.6%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida0.834.5%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.5010.2%1st Place
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11.06Unknown School0.031.8%1st Place
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6.14University of South Florida1.6010.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Hawaii1.056.5%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Berkeley0.864.3%1st Place
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9.12Unknown School0.614.3%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.087.4%1st Place
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10.56University of Hawaii0.122.5%1st Place
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12.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.3%1st Place
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9.55University of Hawaii0.473.1%1st Place
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11.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.831.6%1st Place
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15.68Rutgers University-1.670.4%1st Place
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15.52University of California at San Diego-1.130.4%1st Place
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15.3University of California at Davis-1.410.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 23.6% | 20.1% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Jones | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Julian Skerrett | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Young | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maggie Rickman | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Florence Duff | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Kisling | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| Karolina Debniak | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 23.5% | 35.5% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 23.5% | 29.8% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.