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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83+5.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University5.19+2.91vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.34+4.96vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+3.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+3.36vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.65+4.54vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.33+4.76vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy4.34-0.32vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.36vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-2.57vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.50+0.23vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.50-0.57vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.77+0.62vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia3.01-1.32vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.32+0.04vs Predicted
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16Boston University4.07-7.12vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-10.24vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.76-8.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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4.91Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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10.54Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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7.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.23Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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11.43Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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13.62Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
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12.68University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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15.04Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.88Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.92Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Menninger | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 13.1% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Anne Haeger | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| John Stokes | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
| Robert Vann | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 6.4% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 21.1% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 11.9% |
| Blair Davis | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 38.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.1% | 10.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.