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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University2.24+1.36vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.35+1.80vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.59+0.30vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.06+2.05vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland1.00-0.83vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.84-1.49vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.35-3.20vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-2.12vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.39-2.37vs Predicted
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10American University-1.82-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.36Christopher Newport University2.240.4%1st Place
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3.8Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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3.3Villanova University1.590.2%1st Place
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6.05Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
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4.51William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
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3.8Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
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6.63Catholic University of America-0.390.0%1st Place
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8.31American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Van Beurden | 36.3% | 26.4% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 11.9% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 19.5% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 20.9% | 23.0% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 11.6% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 11.9% | 16.4% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 23.8% | 18.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Iain Higgins | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 31.3% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 12.0% | 72.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.