← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Virginia Tech1.35+2.67vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University2.24+0.45vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University1.59+0.27vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech1.35-0.33vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary0.84-0.51vs Predicted
-
6University of Maryland1.00-1.83vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University-0.06-0.91vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-0.39-1.31vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.15vs Predicted
-
10American University-1.82-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.67Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
-
2.45Christopher Newport University2.240.3%1st Place
-
3.27Villanova University1.590.2%1st Place
-
3.67Virginia Tech1.350.2%1st Place
-
4.49William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
-
4.17University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
-
6.09Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
6.69Catholic University of America-0.390.0%1st Place
-
5.85University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
-
8.31American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| McKay Hanna | 15.6% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xander Van Beurden | 33.9% | 25.8% | 17.9% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 19.6% | 18.6% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 15.6% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 10.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 22.5% | 22.7% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Iain Higgins | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 32.5% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 72.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.