← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University2.24+1.34vs Predicted
-
2Virginia Tech1.35+1.83vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University-0.06+3.17vs Predicted
-
4Villanova University1.59-0.81vs Predicted
-
5Virginia Tech1.35-1.17vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary0.84-1.57vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland1.00-2.77vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-0.39-1.33vs Predicted
-
9University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10-3.17vs Predicted
-
10American University-1.82-1.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.34Christopher Newport University2.240.4%1st Place
-
3.83Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
-
6.17Drexel University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
3.19Villanova University1.590.2%1st Place
-
3.83Virginia Tech1.350.1%1st Place
-
4.43William and Mary0.840.1%1st Place
-
4.23University of Maryland1.000.1%1st Place
-
6.67Catholic University of America-0.390.0%1st Place
-
5.83University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.0%1st Place
-
8.31American University-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Van Beurden | 37.7% | 24.4% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 11.7% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Proko | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Domenic Re | 19.3% | 21.7% | 19.3% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| McKay Hanna | 11.7% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Keesee | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Crouse | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Iain Higgins | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 32.0% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Wade | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 72.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.