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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.56vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+5.22vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.96+7.00vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.41+4.41vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+0.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73+1.29vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.70vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.38+3.39vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25-1.13vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.44-2.62vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-3.06vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.89+0.81vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.06vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.11-2.01vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-6.23vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.22Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.0Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.41Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.28University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.7University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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12.39Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.87Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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13.81SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Dan Nickerson | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 15.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| John Nothacker | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 17.8% | 33.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 24.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.