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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.41+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.50+3.50vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+7.69vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.90+2.87vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.07+2.06vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.77+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.12+3.04vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.47+0.08vs Predicted
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10Unknown School0.61-1.40vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.74-2.83vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.83-3.78vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.36-3.27vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-1.45vs Predicted
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15Unknown School0.03-4.22vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.41-0.84vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.50vs Predicted
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18Rutgers University-1.34-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Hawaii2.4128.8%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Santa Barbara1.5011.6%1st Place
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10.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.832.6%1st Place
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6.87University of Southern California0.907.3%1st Place
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7.06University of South Florida1.076.6%1st Place
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8.03University of South Florida0.775.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Hawaii0.123.6%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.086.3%1st Place
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9.08University of Hawaii0.473.5%1st Place
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8.6Unknown School0.615.3%1st Place
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8.17University of California at Berkeley0.745.5%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida0.835.0%1st Place
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9.73University of Hawaii0.363.5%1st Place
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12.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.261.8%1st Place
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10.78Unknown School0.031.8%1st Place
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15.16University of California at Davis-1.410.7%1st Place
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15.5University of California at San Diego-2.050.5%1st Place
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15.0Rutgers University-1.340.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 28.8% | 21.9% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Skerrett | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Rickman | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Jones | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kees Horn | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Florence Duff | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 4.5% |
| Matt Young | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 14.0% | 24.1% | 28.1% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 21.2% | 35.3% |
| Andrew Martin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 21.5% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.