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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University5.19+3.99vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.43+5.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+3.80vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.34+3.73vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+5.97vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.52vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.33+4.76vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.32+6.97vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-1.89vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.50+1.37vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-4.94vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.76-1.58vs Predicted
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13Washington College3.65-2.63vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy4.34-6.52vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia3.01-2.12vs Predicted
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16Boston University4.07-7.11vs Predicted
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17Harvard University4.17-8.53vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.77-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.99Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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10.97Yale University3.500.0%1st Place
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9.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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14.97Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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11.37Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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6.06St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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10.42Old Dominion University3.760.0%1st Place
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10.37Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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12.88University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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8.89Boston University4.070.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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13.62Eckerd College2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Claire Dennis | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 4.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% |
| Blair Davis | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 15.9% | 39.5% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nick Dugdale | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Michael Menninger | 11.4% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Robert Vann | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stessing | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% |
| Ben Greenfield | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| John Stokes | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jeff Hahl | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.