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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+4.55vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.38+10.13vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.34+5.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+0.68vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.44+2.38vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.74vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+0.19vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05-0.39vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.11+1.03vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-2.80vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.41-5.57vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.73-7.98vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-6.96vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.89-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.55Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.13Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.340.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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5.68Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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7.31Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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9.19Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.61Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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10.2Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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13.75SUNY Maritime College1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 13.5% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% |
| Nicholas Clemence | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Avery Fanning | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Colin MURPHY | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Augie Dale | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 18.9% | 23.9% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Dan Nickerson | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Connor Corgard | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| John Nothacker | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 17.9% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.